High-Frequency Activity
Real-time economic activity indicators: air travel, rail freight, restaurant dining, and electricity. Pure actuals with no survey counterpart available.
Pure Actuals — No Survey Counterpart Available
These metrics have no directly comparable survey-based counterpart measuring the same variable in the same units. Shown individually with signal assessment only.
TSA · dailyActual
TSA Checkpoint Throughput
—
Actual bodies passing through TSA airport checkpoints daily. Most immediate measure of travel demand.
No data available for this series
Fetched: Apr 8, 2026
FRED · weeklyActual
Rail Freight Carloads
965128.0+4.2% YoYPositive signal
AAR weekly rail traffic data — actual freight carloads moving across North America.
Latest data: Jan 1, 2026Fetched: Apr 8, 2026
OPENTABLE · dailyActual
OpenTable Seated Diners
20.5%+15.8pp vs year agoPositive signal
Real-time restaurant reservation and seating data compared to 2019 baseline.
Latest data: Apr 6, 2026Fetched: Apr 8, 2026
FRED · monthlyActual
Electric Power Production
2.2%-7.4pp vs year agoPositive signal
EIA tracks actual electricity generation across the lower 48 states. Real-time proxy for economic activity.
Latest data: Feb 1, 2026Fetched: Apr 8, 2026
Methodology
Reported (Left column) = official surveys, models, and lagged indices. Subject to revision and sampling error. Sources: BLS (CES/CPS surveys), Conference Board, University of Michigan, S&P CoreLogic.
Real (Right column) = actual counted transactions, filings, and real-time measurements. No estimation. Sources: ADP payroll data, Zillow listings, TSA checkpoint counts, AAR carloads, FRED transactional series.
Pairing rule: Only metrics measuring the same variable in the same units are paired side-by-side. Metrics without a true survey counterpart are shown in the “Pure Actuals” section without comparison banners.
YoY calculation: All year-over-year changes compare the latest available value to the value closest to 12 months prior, using identical methodology on both sides.
Last refreshed: 8 Apr 2026, 17:19 UTC — auto-refreshes daily at 06:00 UTC