Credit & Lending
Bank lending, consumer credit, and delinquency rates. All metrics are pure actuals — SLOOS (opinion survey) is shown for context only.
Pure Actuals — No Survey Counterpart
These metrics have no directly comparable survey-based counterpart measuring the same variable in the same units. Shown individually with signal assessment only.
Federal Reserve weekly report on actual assets and liabilities of all commercial banks. Real balance sheet data.
Fed G.19 report — actual outstanding consumer credit from financial institutions.
Actual delinquency rates reported by commercial banks. Real defaults — consumers actually failing to pay.
Context: What Surveys Say
Quarterly survey of 80 banks asking subjective questions about whether they are tightening or loosening. H.8 data (above) measures actual lending volumes in percent growth YoY — a fundamentally different variable (opinion diffusion index vs. volume growth rate).